• Pat Flood (@rebarcock) passed away 9/21/25. Pat played a huge role in encouraging the devolopmemt of this site and donated the very first dollar to get it started. Check the thread at the top of the board for the obituary and please feel free to pay your respects there. I am going to get all the content from that thread over to his family so they can see how many people really cared for Pat outside of what they ever knew. Pat loved to tell stories and always wanted everyone else to tell stories. I think a great way we can honor Pat is to tell a story in his thread (also pinned at the top of the board).

***Master US Jobs / Inflation Thread***

We are gonna be telling our grandkids about the whacky ass post Covid economy where you could buy a new vehicle that went up in value the following 3 years.
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Inflation is starting to slow down consumption and hurting consumer confidence. Poor Biden.



Last week US CPI inflation for June rose at a stunning 0.9% MoM, or 11% annualized, placing it among the highest sequential inflation readings in the past 40 years. Sure, much of the reading can be chalked up to used car prices and airline tickets, which are unlikely to continue to rise at this pace and may actually fall back. Still, food inflation rose 0.8% MoM, energy inflation rose 1.5% MoM, and rents increased 0.5% MoM. When food, energy and rent prices rise like this it inevitably starts to crimp consumer confidence and consumption related activity. That may be what we are seeing now.
 
Big miss on the GDP 6.5 vs 8.4 expected
Yep.


  • GDP rose at a 6.5% annualized pace in the second quarter, according to the Commerce Department’s first estimate Thursday.
  • That was well below the Dow Jones estimate of 8.4%.
  • Initial claims for unemployment insurance also missed expectations, with the 400,000 total above the 380,000 expectation.
 
Yep should be fun to see how it plays out
I hate to be Debbie downer but if I were gonna guess I would say inflation tapers slowly over the next 3 years (maybe 4) and GDP looks like shit.

Things won’t overheat that way and at the same time won’t go straight off the cliff.

Barry’s growth will look Clintonesque by the time we are said and done IYAM.
 
This is Doomsday porn on Bloomberg. Roubini says Fed will pick high rates of inflation so we don’t have a debt crisis.
1970’s here we are….

 
Joe Manchin is the most powerful member of Congress given the tight margins and now he is bitching about the Fed's endless money printing. Inflation is leading to political pressure on Jerome Powell and his term is almost over.

 
Joe Manchin is the most powerful member of Congress given the tight margins and now he is bitching about the Fed's endless money printing. Inflation is leading to political pressure on Jerome Powell and his term is almost over.


Manchin and Sinema are about to be challenged by their own party the next time they are up.

Tells you everything you everything we need to know about the pressure those folks are under.

They had their chance after the steal and dropped the ball.
 

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