95% chance of a .75 bps increase in the fed funds rate.
-
Pat Flood (@rebarcock) passed away 9/21/25. Pat played a huge role in encouraging the devolopmemt of this site and donated the very first dollar to get it started. Check the thread at the top of the board for the obituary and please feel free to pay your respects there. I am going to get all the content from that thread over to his family so they can see how many people really cared for Pat outside of what they ever knew. Pat loved to tell stories and always wanted everyone else to tell stories. I think a great way we can honor Pat is to tell a story in his thread (also pinned at the top of the board).
***Master US Jobs / Inflation Thread***
- Thread starter America 1st
- Start date
I’ve read that the mortgage rates need to rise to the rate on inflation to get inflation in check. We could see 8% mortgages within a year.
How do you connect mortgage rates to inflation? I get it why, but how does the mechanism work? Money velocity slows down?
Maybe i meant Fed Funds rate. Fed Funds Rate, (which is directly tied to mortgage rates) have to reach the rate of inflation in order to bring the rate of inflation under control.
I may have messed it up a little bit, but the premise remains the same. Intrest rates in general must reach the rate of inflation to bring inflation under control. I think it was Larry Summers who said it.
Found the article i was referring to. This was from March and things have gotten considerable worse since then.
Larry Summers Warns That Interest Rates Have to Go Much Higher
Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers has been warning about the dangers of an inflationary spiral in the U.S. economy for more than a year, driven largely by what he saw as excessive pandemic relief spending under the Biden administration. Now he’s predicting the Federal Reserve will...
finance.yahoo.com
“Levels they’re not even thinking are conceivable” lolMaybe i meant Fed Funds rate. Fed Funds Rate, (which is directly tied to mortgage rates) have to reach the rate of inflation in order to bring the rate of inflation under control.
I may have messed it up a little bit, but the premise remains the same. Intrest rates in general must reach the rate of inflation to bring inflation under control. I think it was Larry Summers who said it.
Found the article i was referring to. This was from March and things have gotten considerable worse since then.
Larry Summers Warns That Interest Rates Have to Go Much Higher
Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers has been warning about the dangers of an inflationary spiral in the U.S. economy for more than a year, driven largely by what he saw as excessive pandemic relief spending under the Biden administration. Now he’s predicting the Federal Reserve will...
View attachment 110438
How have the last couple weeks been reflected in your work?
Not great, they should have been better. I’m super frustrated but hoping to right the ship soon. Made some changes to our model and hoping that makes a difference in the following weeks.
Sorry about that dude. You’ll get it figured out
Similar threads
