The markets are going to be all over the place in 22.Inflation coming in hot at the highest level since 1982. How will policy makers respond? Stock market up about 1% this morning on the news.
.8% for the month on pace for 6.8% surge on the year.
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Inflation surged 6.8% in November, even more than expected, to fastest rate since 1982
Inflation accelerated at its fastest pace since 1982 in November, the Labor Department said Friday.www.cnbc.com
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David R Duringer on Gab: 'Highest PPI since 1974: https://www.zerohedge.co…'
David R Duringer on Gab: 'Highest PPI since 1974: https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/us-producer-prices-explode-record-high-november-and-theres-worse-come'gab.com
I love Buffett.
There have Ben calls of the currency going two zero for decades without it cumming two fruition.View attachment 79090
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What does Munger mean by "The currency is going to zero" ??? Anyone care to opine?
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Inflation can be ‘the way democracies die’: Charlie Munger
In an exclusive interview Wednesday with Yahoo Finance Editor-in-Chief Andy Serwer, legendary investor Charlie Munger weighed in on the high stakes of soaring inflation in the United States.finance.yahoo.com
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What does Munger mean by "The currency is going to zero" ??? Anyone care to opine?
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Inflation can be ‘the way democracies die’: Charlie Munger
In an exclusive interview Wednesday with Yahoo Finance Editor-in-Chief Andy Serwer, legendary investor Charlie Munger weighed in on the high stakes of soaring inflation in the United States.finance.yahoo.com
Probably means the value is going to be worthless. Don't ever trust the investor types on the overall health of the economy.
This is spot on.I think Munger is implying that you should invest your money instead of leave it in cash. Over 100 years (or less), inflation will eat your savings and it will be worthless.
I don't think he means the currency becomes worthless due to anarchy.
Know doubt that everywon gets it wrong from time two time.Every once in a while even the smart people get it wrong. Not even trying to say that he is wrong on crypto, the jury is still out in my opinion. But Buffet and Munger have gotten a a lot wrong in their career, they will admit to that. Yes they are great decision makers and asset allocators, but that does not make them infallible.
SO FAR, they have been dead wrong on crypto.
Can you kind of see the irony that the top capitalist in the world does not wan't the system to change? Of course they don't want to see the system change.
CPI report shows 8% increase yesterday
PPI shows 11.2% increase.
Goldman came out yesterday saying this could be peak inflation. We will see if they are correct.
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Cargo container supply at ports are falling which would signal an increase of containers on ships, which then signal stronger supply chain.
I hope so. They could be related or it could just be a false signal.
I hope the supply chain gets stronger but have a feeling the chinese lockdown may draw out the problems even further. That and interest rates need to keep going higher to reign in some of that money doled out during (and following) the pandemic
About 8% of the US GDP is net trade. Bulk of our supply chain is domestic. I think the international piece is coming back online (to a degree) but as long as we can quit with the lockdowns, 94% if the remaining GDP will be fine. Things will normalize.
Also... there's been 7 trillion worth of capital flight that has come to the US in the last 4 years because of the international shit storm brewing. That's including the shit storm before covid. As supply chains internationally drag, China fractures, Russia kills itself, Germany ages to death, you can only expect trillions upon trillions of more capital. That's yuge demand for the dollar.
Hmm $7 trillion of capital flight ..... it has to go somewhere. Seems like that would be a contributor to inflation don't you think?
So we have the announced rate hikes by the fed, but how come the daily rates also fluctuate? I saw we were up %.1 today which seems pretty significant for just one dayInflation coming in hot with this months CPI report showing an 8.6% increase per year on prices.
This was higher than the high end of expectations. The Fed meets next week to set interest rate policy and todays fed fund futures showed a jump in the probability of a .75% increase at next weeks meeting, now pricing in at a 17.5% chance.
Contributors to the high print were the cost of gasoline, food, and energy with some being near record high prices.
Probability of Fed Futures after next Wednesdays meeting. 82% chance of a 50bps hike and 18% chance of .75bps hike.
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So what does the fed announce tomorrow? Rates to the moon? Pause?Inflation coming in hot with this months CPI report showing an 8.6% increase per year on prices.
This was higher than the high end of expectations. The Fed meets next week to set interest rate policy and todays fed fund futures showed a jump in the probability of a .75% increase at next weeks meeting, now pricing in at a 17.5% chance.
Contributors to the high print were the cost of gasoline, food, and energy with some being near record high prices.
Probability of Fed Futures after next Wednesdays meeting. 82% chance of a 50bps hike and 18% chance of .75bps hike.
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