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Master Thread Dance Your Cares Away/Fraggle/Law Abiding Citizens

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Viking

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Dec 1, 2020
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4,744
So proud of a politician in the GREAT state of Florida having the balls to say what Ron DeSantis is saying. I hope and pray that 60 Minutes is held accountable for the ridiculous hit piece the other night.

Does anyone who has Twitter follow 60 Minute's twitter account so we can see how they are reacting to the blowback?


He has been working on his President Trump hand gestures as well. SKOL!
 

Old Glory

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More fear porn incoming:


Michigan could reduce coronavirus deaths by 2,500 over the next three months by reenacting COVID-19 restrictions and doubling the current rate of vaccine administration for a two-week period, estimates a University of California researcher.

“With regard to the reopening pause, this might be possible by closing indoor dining, indoor bars and indoor gyms for two weeks,” wrote Joshua Schwab, a Berkeley biostatistician.

In an April 3 post, Schwab said his calculations estimated that enacting both strategies -- tighter restrictions and faster pace of vaccine administration, each for two weeks -- would reduce new hospital admissions by 23,000 and deaths by 2,500 from April 3 to July 1.

Just doubling vaccine administration would reduce hospital admissions by 10,000 and deaths by 1,200, Schwab wrote.

Restrictions on restaurants, bars and gyms would reduce hospital admissions by 16,000 and deaths by 1,700, he projected.

Without interventions, Schwab projects that COVID-19 hospitalizations will peak around May 1 at around 5,500 inpatients or more than 700 new inpatients a day.

That would exceed the previous peak of 4,300 during the first week of November. Michigan hospitals had more than 3,300 coronavirus inpatients on Monday, April 5.

In regards to deaths, Schwab estimates the state will have more than 20,000 coronavirus deaths by July 1 if no interventions are taken. The state has 16,239 confirmed coronavirus deaths as of Monday, April 5.

Schwab posted the model on LEMMA or Local Epidemic Modeling for Management and Action, which provides regional projections of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic under various scenarios.

Below is Schwab’s projections on Michigan hospital admissions for COVID-19.

The light blue line is the projected trend under the status quo; the olive green line is the projected trend with doubling vaccine administration for two weeks; the bright green line is the trend with COVID-19 restrictions for two weeks, and the orange line is implementing both strategies. The purple dots represent actual hospital admissions.



Hospitalizations

Graphic from LEMMA.

Next is the chart showing Schwab’s projections for COVID-19 deaths in Michigan.

(Once again, the light blue line is the projected trend under the status quo; the olive green line is the projected trend with doubling vaccine administration for two weeks; the bright green line is the trend with COVID-19 restrictions for two weeks, and the orange line is implementing both strategies. The purple dots represent actual death counts.)



Deaths michigan

Graphic from LEMMA

Schwab writes that he’s basing his analysis on the assumptions that the UK variant is 50% of Michigan’s coronavirus cases and is growing at 3% per day and that variant is 70% more transmissible.

Schwab’s analysis “looks pretty valid to me,” said Emily Toth Martin, a University of Michigan epidemiologist.

She added that model underscores something she is “working to have people understand: Vaccine takes 6 weeks to make a full impact. We need to be careful not to count our chickens before they are hatched.”

Ryan Malosh, another U-M epidemiologist, said he’s “a bit skeptical of just how steep” that Schwab projects cases would drop with two weeks of restrictions in restaurants, bars and gyms.

“It also is likely an oversimplification (all models are) in that it won’t capture where (e.g. which counties) or in what age group the vaccination surge is applied, which would obviously influence the number of cases, hospitalizations and deaths averted,” Malosh said.

“But qualitatively I think this matches what we would expect,” he added. “A pause would help reduce case numbers in the short term followed by longer-term reductions with a vaccination surge.

“And, without any inside information, it seems like there is little political will from the governor’s office to do a pause,” Malosh added. “But we could collectively tighten up on what we’re doing (more masks, more distancing) and hopefully reduce case counts until vaccine rollout can really increase.”

Let's impose more restrictions when we've seen that less restrictions actually have the impact we are looking for.
 

Sgfeer

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s-ou-thern

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Joined
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Messages
3,898
More fear porn incoming:


Michigan could reduce coronavirus deaths by 2,500 over the next three months by reenacting COVID-19 restrictions and doubling the current rate of vaccine administration for a two-week period, estimates a University of California researcher.

“With regard to the reopening pause, this might be possible by closing indoor dining, indoor bars and indoor gyms for two weeks,” wrote Joshua Schwab, a Berkeley biostatistician.

In an April 3 post, Schwab said his calculations estimated that enacting both strategies -- tighter restrictions and faster pace of vaccine administration, each for two weeks -- would reduce new hospital admissions by 23,000 and deaths by 2,500 from April 3 to July 1.

Just doubling vaccine administration would reduce hospital admissions by 10,000 and deaths by 1,200, Schwab wrote.

Restrictions on restaurants, bars and gyms would reduce hospital admissions by 16,000 and deaths by 1,700, he projected.

Without interventions, Schwab projects that COVID-19 hospitalizations will peak around May 1 at around 5,500 inpatients or more than 700 new inpatients a day.

That would exceed the previous peak of 4,300 during the first week of November. Michigan hospitals had more than 3,300 coronavirus inpatients on Monday, April 5.

In regards to deaths, Schwab estimates the state will have more than 20,000 coronavirus deaths by July 1 if no interventions are taken. The state has 16,239 confirmed coronavirus deaths as of Monday, April 5.

Schwab posted the model on LEMMA or Local Epidemic Modeling for Management and Action, which provides regional projections of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic under various scenarios.

Below is Schwab’s projections on Michigan hospital admissions for COVID-19.

The light blue line is the projected trend under the status quo; the olive green line is the projected trend with doubling vaccine administration for two weeks; the bright green line is the trend with COVID-19 restrictions for two weeks, and the orange line is implementing both strategies. The purple dots represent actual hospital admissions.



Hospitalizations

Graphic from LEMMA.

Next is the chart showing Schwab’s projections for COVID-19 deaths in Michigan.

(Once again, the light blue line is the projected trend under the status quo; the olive green line is the projected trend with doubling vaccine administration for two weeks; the bright green line is the trend with COVID-19 restrictions for two weeks, and the orange line is implementing both strategies. The purple dots represent actual death counts.)



Deaths michigan

Graphic from LEMMA

Schwab writes that he’s basing his analysis on the assumptions that the UK variant is 50% of Michigan’s coronavirus cases and is growing at 3% per day and that variant is 70% more transmissible.

Schwab’s analysis “looks pretty valid to me,” said Emily Toth Martin, a University of Michigan epidemiologist.

She added that model underscores something she is “working to have people understand: Vaccine takes 6 weeks to make a full impact. We need to be careful not to count our chickens before they are hatched.”

Ryan Malosh, another U-M epidemiologist, said he’s “a bit skeptical of just how steep” that Schwab projects cases would drop with two weeks of restrictions in restaurants, bars and gyms.

“It also is likely an oversimplification (all models are) in that it won’t capture where (e.g. which counties) or in what age group the vaccination surge is applied, which would obviously influence the number of cases, hospitalizations and deaths averted,” Malosh said.

“But qualitatively I think this matches what we would expect,” he added. “A pause would help reduce case numbers in the short term followed by longer-term reductions with a vaccination surge.

“And, without any inside information, it seems like there is little political will from the governor’s office to do a pause,” Malosh added. “But we could collectively tighten up on what we’re doing (more masks, more distancing) and hopefully reduce case counts until vaccine rollout can really increase.”

Let's impose more restrictions when we've seen that less restrictions actually have the impact we are looking for.
From the article

estimates a University of California researcher.


These university propagandists never have to be right. In fact, there are regularly rewarded for incompetence.
 

JordanPetersHorn

I’m a Fucking Captain Dammit
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Joined
Jan 11, 2021
Messages
1,062
That settled it. they are making a list.
They aren’t but the pharma companies sure are and they have will access to it. I have a buddy that sells database to the feds they’re pretty far back in the IT department but that’s for like civilian and some elements of DOD not like the CIA and stuff
 

22*43*51

Boob Enthusiast
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imprimis

Legendary
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Sounds very European.

View attachment 13861
Maybe he was looking for the next strain of Wuhan Charlie since Ft. Detrick is the biological research facility for the US.
 

God Cam It

Elite
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Mar 30, 2021
Messages
285

Rebarcock.

Your(e)humble servant
Founder
Member
Joined
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Messages
11,561
The shield maiden is on her second mandatory ten day quarantine. This time a student she works directly with in life skills got it. The whole school was almost certain she would get it this time. No dice. Tested negative and is returning tomorrow1 The maiden has a solid immune system bolstered by daily intake of Vit. C, B, and D. Daily zinc, potassium, and calcium ( for the bones, we olds). Meanwhile sheep bah in line for a Fauci load! Take your vitamins people!! SKOL!!
Good job on yall Vik.
 

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