Welcome!

By registering with us, you'll be able to discuss, share and private message with other members of our community.

SignUp Now!
  • Support our Community

    We're proud to offer an ad-free experience and valuable content thanks to the support of our TFSF members. If you enjoy what we do and want to help us continue providing the best experience, consider joining our Patreon

    For $15 a month, you can help us cover costs, support growth, and ensure we keep having fun!

    Your support makes a difference. Thank you!

Master Thread Dance Your Cares Away/Fraggle/Law Abiding Citizens

Master Threads

MortgageHorn

Your Favorite Loan Officer
Founder
Joined
Dec 9, 2020
Messages
25,378
I found @ETNVol on Twitter




GD-AWdKb0AAdGDZ
 

imprimis

Legendary
Founder
Joined
Jan 8, 2021
Messages
10,495
Joined
Jul 1, 2023
Messages
4,814
The government’s interest bill has fallen in recent decades as a share of the economy, thanks to lower borrowing costs over the period. Net interest as a percentage of GDP, without adjusting for inflation, has averaged about 1.5%, though it climbed to 1.9% in 2022 after the pandemic borrowing surge.

Factor in inflation, and interest-to-GDP has frequently been negative, even before the burst of post-COVID price increases. Looking ahead, the White House Office of Management and Budget expects Yellen’s measure to rise back above zero in 2024, as inflation ebbs, and then to top out at 1.1% in 2032-33. That’s a level the Treasury secretary says is “quite reasonable.”

‘Inflated Away’​

Jason Furman, a professor at Harvard University and former economic adviser to President Barack Obama, agrees. In a 2020 paper, he and former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers argued that policymakers should aim to keep real net interest from rising above 2% of GDP.

The metric favored by Yellen is the right one to use, Furman says, because it’s important to factor in the opposite effects that interest costs and inflation have on the debt burden.

When rates and prices are both going up, Furman says that “in one sense, next year’s debt is even bigger than this year’s debt, because it goes up with interest. But in another sense, next year’s debt is smaller, because part of it is inflated away and so you don’t need to pay back as much.”

 
Joined
Jul 1, 2023
Messages
4,814
I don't buy this. Trump Jr and Tucker have both said horribly terrible things about Haley. Trump listens to those 2. No way he doesn't know how bad she's hated by the base. I feel like this is the same people who said Judge Napolitano was going to be his SC pick... Not really insiders but just someone in the orbit talking shit.
This is probably the first time you ever read the room correctly.
 
Joined
Jul 1, 2023
Messages
4,814
It was so nice to see Trump get a big win last night.

If he and Biden face off it’s going to be popcorn worthy TV.

If Biden withdraws then The Dems are going to be facing the weakest candidate the GOP could put forward. The inverse is true as well if Trump gets removed off the ballot by The Supreme Court.

Slava America! 🇺🇸
 

Sgfeer

Legendary
Founder
Joined
Dec 1, 2020
Messages
21,115

1705420652045.png

1705420681446.png
 

Sgfeer

Legendary
Founder
Joined
Dec 1, 2020
Messages
21,115


1705420794964.png
 

Latest posts

Top Bottom