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Master Thread Dance Your Cares Away/Fraggle/Law Abiding Citizens

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This is true. Reality is the market causing the inflation has died already. New construction contracts are off by 50-70% on the ground. The bulk of builds are getting ready to come through the system in the next 3-5 months. 1st qtr next year will be very ugly in the construction world.
Fyi May broke the downward trend for new homecontracts. I was surprised when I saw that this morning
 
Highly doubt it. I'd bet rates get up to 7% before they lower. 5 trillion is a lot to clear away. They'll probably start cutting year 1 of next president imo
Can’t see over 4.50-5.00 but you very well could be right. If so, we’re looking at the buying opportunity of a lifetime.

Edit: market consensus is ceiling of 3.50 by Q4 with first cut by Q2 2023.
 
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Just read the guy from movie The Big Shkrt says he can see the fed doing a 180 soon. He is more in tuned than I am but I don't agree w him
I heard a great analysis today. The economist was saying that the Fed’s policy is based 100% on the demand side and that they are printing money, etc., with a focus on driving demand. This economist said the Fed has it completely backwards and is acting as if a caboose pushes a freight train. I thought that was a great analogy.
 
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I heard a great analysis today. The economist was as

Saying that the Fed’s policy is based 100% on the demand side and that they are printing money, etc., with a focus on driving demand. This economist said the Fed has it completely backwards and is acting as if a caboose pushes a freight train. I thought that was a great analogy.
Once one realizes the fed is a central tenet of the communsit manifesto we can better understand its actions and intentions

The fed loves crisis, deflates and inflates to its advantage
 

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