Just got back from the Seth Keshel Election Integrity event. Will post some notes in a bit. Rafael Cruz( Ted Cruz's dad) was there as well.
So, Seth's work focuses on statistical anomalies. At this event he talked about national anomalies as well as Tarrant county, TX anomalies.
I. Bellweathers
A. 19 counties which have predicted the election correctly since 1980. Of these counties, 18/19 went for Trump.
B. Since 1896, 100% of the time(13x) when a candidate wins OH, IA, FL, and NC they win the general election.
II. Share of the Primary Vote
A. Defeated incumbents
1. Hoover - 36%
2. Ford - 53%
3. Carter - 51%
4. Bush - 72%
B. Modern GOP Incumbent Election Landslides
1. Dwight Eisenhower - 85%
2. Nixon - 86%
3. Reagan - 98%
Trump got 94% of the primary vote share!
III. Incumbent Vote Gain
A. Since 1892,
no incumbent has gained votes and lost a re-election.
B. Three times an incumbent has lost votes from the previous election and still won the general.
IV. Voter Registration by Party
B. Pennsylvania voter registration went 21-1 for the republicans between 2016-2020.
V. Landslide Victories correlate to House wins
A. Reagan 1980- 34 seats gained
B. Reagan 1984 - 16 seats gained
C. Obama 2012 - 8 seats gained
D. Biden 2020 -
lost 13 seats 
VI. Trend of Florida
A. Since 1932, Florida's trajectory(%change from previous election) correlates with Pennsylvania and Michigan. Guess what happened in 2020
VII. Tarrant County new party votes
A. Trump gained 63,780 votes(34.1%). Previous Republican high was 62,541(2004)
B. Biden gained 123,175 voted(65.9%)
. Previous Democrat high was 67,594(2008)
And finally, Ted Cruz's dad is a bad ass. That guy was so passionate about America. Said he love's America and kid's today need to be taught the constitution.
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