Master Thread Dance Your Cares Away/Fraggle/Law Abiding Citizens
- Thread starter Bryan74b
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Think I would avoid that hospital.
Going to have to follow that guy. Looks legit.
Let me guess... artillery?
Possibly, submarines with those torpedoes? Does Israel have submarines?
dirtytoeddawg
Legendary
dirtytoeddawg
Legendary
Back on a OG topic for our OG LAC thread
dirtytoeddawg
Legendary
TheFiend
Elite
Think I sorta get what you're sayin' there.
Not sure which type of Christianity you roll with, but you obviously know way more about this stuff than me. Do all the different versions of christianity accept the same position as you too? Or nah? (*Guessing some of the zionized/Scofield christians might not agree(?))
To evaluate the claim in the post, let’s break it down: a “space weather guy” suggests a current storm system is linked to a solar storm, with upper air turbulence caused by solar winds, and predicts turbulent conditions for a while. I’ll assess the plausibility based on recent space weather data and scientific understanding, using available information.
1. Is a Current Storm System Linked to a Solar Storm?
Solar storms, driven by events like coronal mass ejections (CMEs) or solar flares, can influence Earth’s magnetosphere, ionosphere, and upper atmosphere. These events can cause geomagnetic storms, which may lead to auroras, radio blackouts, or satellite disruptions. However, linking a terrestrial “storm system” (typically referring to weather patterns like thunderstorms or hurricanes) directly to a solar storm is unconventional. Solar storms primarily affect the upper atmosphere (ionosphere and thermosphere) and technological systems, not surface weather systems driven by atmospheric dynamics.
Recent data confirms solar activity:
These events indicate ongoing space weather activity, which could justify the “space weather guy’s” focus on a solar storm. However, no evidence directly ties these solar events to a meteorological storm system. The claim may stem from a misunderstanding or exaggeration of how solar activity affects Earth’s atmosphere. Solar storms can indirectly influence atmospheric dynamics (e.g., by altering ionospheric conditions), but they don’t typically “cause” weather systems like storms.
2. Upper Air Turbulence from Solar Winds?
Solar winds—streams of charged particles from the Sun—interact with Earth’s magnetic field and upper atmosphere. During geomagnetic storms, these interactions can increase atmospheric density in the thermosphere (above ~100 km), affecting satellite orbits due to drag. They can also disrupt the ionosphere, impacting radio communications and GPS.
The claim about “upper air turbulence” is ambiguous. In aviation, upper air turbulence often refers to clear-air turbulence (CAT) in the troposphere or lower stratosphere (5–15 km altitude), caused by jet stream dynamics or wind shear, not solar winds. Solar storms might theoretically influence the upper atmosphere’s stability (e.g., by heating the thermosphere), but there’s no established link to turbulence at altitudes relevant to commercial aviation. Scientific literature doesn’t support solar winds directly causing tropospheric or stratospheric turbulence. The “space weather guy” might be speculating or misinterpreting ionospheric disturbances as tropospheric turbulence.
3. Will It Be “Wild for a While”?
The prediction of turbulent conditions “for a while” aligns with recent forecasts:
These suggest continued space weather activity, which could cause disruptions like radio blackouts, auroras, or satellite issues. However, the term “wild” is vague. If it refers to geomagnetic storms, the forecast supports minor to moderate activity (G1–G2), not extreme (G5) events like the May 2024 storm. If it implies widespread weather or aviation chaos, this is less supported, as solar storms don’t directly drive meteorological or tropospheric turbulence.
4. Credibility of the “Space Weather Guy”
The post doesn’t specify the source, but the mention of a “space weather guy” suggests an enthusiast or forecaster, possibly on platforms like X. For example, @TamithaSkov, a space weather physicist, posted on May 17 about the “bird wing” CME causing a G2-level geomagnetic storm with “turbulent conditions” expected. Her post aligns with NOAA data but doesn’t mention terrestrial storm systems or aviation turbulence, focusing instead on geomagnetic effects. If the “guy” is someone else, their claim might reflect speculation or misinformation, especially if they lack credentials. Without a specific post, I can’t verify their exact statement, but the claims about storm systems and turbulence seem exaggerated.
5. Conclusion
The post is partially true but likely overstated or misinterpreted:
The “space weather guy” might be referencing real solar activity but overstating its effects on weather or aviation. Always cross-check such claims with reputable sources like NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center (spaceweather.gov) or NASA. If you can share the specific post or source, I can analyze it further!
1. Is a Current Storm System Linked to a Solar Storm?
Solar storms, driven by events like coronal mass ejections (CMEs) or solar flares, can influence Earth’s magnetosphere, ionosphere, and upper atmosphere. These events can cause geomagnetic storms, which may lead to auroras, radio blackouts, or satellite disruptions. However, linking a terrestrial “storm system” (typically referring to weather patterns like thunderstorms or hurricanes) directly to a solar storm is unconventional. Solar storms primarily affect the upper atmosphere (ionosphere and thermosphere) and technological systems, not surface weather systems driven by atmospheric dynamics.
Recent data confirms solar activity:
- On May 17, 2025, a surprise G2 (moderate) geomagnetic storm hit Earth due to a CME, with solar wind speeds reaching ~530 km/s (1,186,000 mph). A corotating interaction region (CIR) is expected by May 18, potentially increasing solar wind speeds and causing further geomagnetic activity, possibly G1 (minor) storms by May 18–19.
- Earlier in the week (May 14–15), an X2.7 solar flare caused radio blackouts across Europe, Asia, and the Middle East, with possible associated CMEs.
- A “bird wing” solar filament eruption occurred around May 13–14, mostly missing Earth but potentially causing minor geomagnetic effects.
These events indicate ongoing space weather activity, which could justify the “space weather guy’s” focus on a solar storm. However, no evidence directly ties these solar events to a meteorological storm system. The claim may stem from a misunderstanding or exaggeration of how solar activity affects Earth’s atmosphere. Solar storms can indirectly influence atmospheric dynamics (e.g., by altering ionospheric conditions), but they don’t typically “cause” weather systems like storms.
2. Upper Air Turbulence from Solar Winds?
Solar winds—streams of charged particles from the Sun—interact with Earth’s magnetic field and upper atmosphere. During geomagnetic storms, these interactions can increase atmospheric density in the thermosphere (above ~100 km), affecting satellite orbits due to drag. They can also disrupt the ionosphere, impacting radio communications and GPS.
The claim about “upper air turbulence” is ambiguous. In aviation, upper air turbulence often refers to clear-air turbulence (CAT) in the troposphere or lower stratosphere (5–15 km altitude), caused by jet stream dynamics or wind shear, not solar winds. Solar storms might theoretically influence the upper atmosphere’s stability (e.g., by heating the thermosphere), but there’s no established link to turbulence at altitudes relevant to commercial aviation. Scientific literature doesn’t support solar winds directly causing tropospheric or stratospheric turbulence. The “space weather guy” might be speculating or misinterpreting ionospheric disturbances as tropospheric turbulence.
3. Will It Be “Wild for a While”?
The prediction of turbulent conditions “for a while” aligns with recent forecasts:
- NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center notes a high chance of M-class flares and potential CMEs in the coming days, which could lead to further geomagnetic storms and auroras.
- A CIR and increasing solar wind speeds are expected by May 18–19, potentially causing G1 geomagnetic storms.
- The Sun is in the maximum phase of Solar Cycle 25, making solar activity more frequent and intense, with effects likely to persist through 2025.
These suggest continued space weather activity, which could cause disruptions like radio blackouts, auroras, or satellite issues. However, the term “wild” is vague. If it refers to geomagnetic storms, the forecast supports minor to moderate activity (G1–G2), not extreme (G5) events like the May 2024 storm. If it implies widespread weather or aviation chaos, this is less supported, as solar storms don’t directly drive meteorological or tropospheric turbulence.
4. Credibility of the “Space Weather Guy”
The post doesn’t specify the source, but the mention of a “space weather guy” suggests an enthusiast or forecaster, possibly on platforms like X. For example, @TamithaSkov, a space weather physicist, posted on May 17 about the “bird wing” CME causing a G2-level geomagnetic storm with “turbulent conditions” expected. Her post aligns with NOAA data but doesn’t mention terrestrial storm systems or aviation turbulence, focusing instead on geomagnetic effects. If the “guy” is someone else, their claim might reflect speculation or misinformation, especially if they lack credentials. Without a specific post, I can’t verify their exact statement, but the claims about storm systems and turbulence seem exaggerated.
5. Conclusion
The post is partially true but likely overstated or misinterpreted:
- True: A solar storm is occurring, with a G2 geomagnetic storm on May 17 and potential G1 storms upcoming, driven by CMEs and solar winds. Space weather will remain active due to Solar Cycle 25’s peak.
- Unlikely: No evidence links solar storms to terrestrial storm systems or upper air turbulence in the troposphere/stratosphere. Solar winds affect the upper atmosphere, but not in ways that directly cause aviation-relevant turbulence.
- Vague: “Wild for a while” could reflect ongoing geomagnetic activity, but the term exaggerates impacts without specifics. Extreme disruptions (e.g., power grid failures) are unlikely based on current forecasts.
The “space weather guy” might be referencing real solar activity but overstating its effects on weather or aviation. Always cross-check such claims with reputable sources like NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center (spaceweather.gov) or NASA. If you can share the specific post or source, I can analyze it further!
TheFiend
Elite
Hey you remember that post about a "King of Hamas" the Israeli officials claimed they'd bombed the other day?
It was at the European Hospital in Khan Yunis aye? Can you recall if they gave us an actual name for their so claimed "King of Hamas" target?
Wasn't this guy was it?
Or this other (Mohammad Sinwar) guy?
Goldhedge
Legendary
No surprise if you've ever driven in Mexico City...
dirtytoeddawg
Legendary
dirtytoeddawg
Legendary
I’ve been all concerned about this lately & then looked at my DL this week. It’s a real ID with the star in upper corner. Apparently Ga has been doing this for over a decade. Have had mine for 6 years now. Never new I had it nor remember providing anything out of the ordinary.
Bye bye Canada!! Hello WESTERN CONFERENCE FINALS!!
www.espn.com
Stars 2-1 Jets (May 17, 2025) Box Score - ESPN
Box score for the Dallas Stars vs. Winnipeg Jets NHL game from May 17, 2025 on ESPN. Includes all goals, assists and penalty minutes stats.
dirtytoeddawg
Legendary
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