Agree - the higher intrest rates will lessen the pool of buyers. The problem, around here at least, is that the pool of buyers was vast. For every winning bid, there were 5-10 back-up offers. So, rates need to rise to weed out the pool of buyers. This should happen fairly quickly. Dont forget, when you get a mortgage you usually get a rate lock of 30-60 days so there will probably be some lag before it actually starts showing up in the market.
I do think RE will hold in there better than the stock market and other investments. People will alwyas value the roof over their head more than anything else (other than food and water).
My two cents:
Real estate is going to be king in a couple years. Scarcity + soaking up all the inflation.
In the mean time the next couple years are going to be a hell of an opportunity for anyone that can scrape up some capital. I’m working on consolidating a lot of my debt so I can do my best to start building up some capital.
As horrible as it sounds, I am cash back refi’ing into a 5.5% (started the process last week) because I’ve got a heloc, business loan, and personal loan I need to wipe out. Should clean up all my variable rate debt and increase my personal monthly net by about $300.
I would really like to try and scrape together enough to at least pounce on a property or two in the next couple years. We had been shifting our plan away from residential, but looks like that’s going to be the next opening
If prices drop enough I could give a shit about interest rates as long as I can hit my cap rate.