It’s Bama, Georgia, Texas, Ole Miss and Tennessee and then everyone else. You have Ohio State, Oregon and Miami outside the SEC.
Georgia looked like shit tonight, but we all know they are still a top team.
Any of these teams can choke basically any game, but here is what I’m seeing right now:
I’m confident all 5 of those top SEC teams can take 2 losses and make the playoffs.
Texas and Ole Miss only have to play Georgia of that group, so they are both playoff locks. Even if they take the L to Georgia, these teams also have a good shot at making the SEC championship game because of their schedules
Alabama and Tennessee are in similar spots where they play 2 of the top SEC teams. Bama has UGA and Vols. Vols have UGA and Bama. If either of these teams loses both games, they are still comfortably in the playoffs as long as they don’t lose both and choke in another game. I could still see either of these teams making it in with 3 L’s in some cases as well, as long as we don’t have multiple upsets in conference championships
UGA is gonna have the toughest road. They have to play all the other top tier SEC teams: Bama, Texas, Tennessee and Ole Miss. I still think UGA can take 3 L’s there and finish in the playoff field, but they really don’t want to get in that position.
I’m not buying Mizzou as near the top tier as their ranking would indicate, but I do think they are gonna be a critical game and tough out for anyone. LSU is meh and a notch below Mizzou. Oklahoma is not good this year so I don’t see them being a huge threat for anyone
As far as the SEC championship goes, that’s gonna be wild to see how it plays out, but it could become a pretty big disadvantage to play in the game and lose. UGA is best trying to avoid that game altogether because they have so little success in the SEC championship