• Pat Flood (@rebarcock) passed away 9/21/25. Pat played a huge role in encouraging the devolopmemt of this site and donated the very first dollar to get it started. Check the thread at the top of the board for the obituary and please feel free to pay your respects there. I am going to get all the content from that thread over to his family so they can see how many people really cared for Pat outside of what they ever knew. Pat loved to tell stories and always wanted everyone else to tell stories. I think a great way we can honor Pat is to tell a story in his thread (also pinned at the top of the board).

Well there it is

Two shots🤷🏻‍♂️

Even still that’s more than 13% just looking at adults. 315m or so in this country. Not sure how many kids under 18 but it’s gotta be 70m minimum. So, should be closer to 20%.

Back of the napkin math anyways





Alternatively, Add in another 30m “confirmed” cases and a estimate of 4x per the cdc and we’ve got 170m immune. Given that some vaccinated likely were already exposed who should be subtracted back out we’ve gotta be close to 50% immunity right?
 
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Even still that’s more than 13% just looking at adults. 315m or so in this country. Not sure how many kids under 18 but it’s gotta be 70m minimum. So, should be closer to 20%.

Back of the napkin math anyways





Alternatively, Add in another 30m “confirmed” cases and a estimate of 4x per the cdc and we’ve got 170m immune. Given that some vaccinated likely were already exposed who should be subtracted back out we’ve gotta be close to 50% immunity right?
I think it means that 13% have received both doses with 100M doses total given.
 
While the virus will always be around (like H1N1), the pandemic will end because of it running its course and vaccines. How does a doofus like me know this but "experts" don't?
 

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