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Pat Flood (@rebarcock) passed away 9/21/25. Pat played a huge role in encouraging the devolopmemt of this site and donated the very first dollar to get it started. Check the thread at the top of the board for the obituary and please feel free to pay your respects there. I am going to get all the content from that thread over to his family so they can see how many people really cared for Pat outside of what they ever knew. Pat loved to tell stories and always wanted everyone else to tell stories. I think a great way we can honor Pat is to tell a story in his thread (also pinned at the top of the board).
Mortgage rates are moving higher
- Thread starter CDDP
- Start date
Eye smell an opportunity two bye REITs
Can’t wait for the crash.
Can you explain?
Rising interest rates means that its more expensive to purchase real estate and thus should cause prices to come down.
Copied from an article butt well written sough:
“Higher interest rates can affect REITs in two main ways. One is a secondary way, it makes their funding tougher or more expensive. Most REITs require or depend at least on some borrowed money to finance their growth strategy, like how real estate investors take out mortgages to buy properties, same idea with REITs. As interest rates rise, those get more expensive it adds to their cost of capital.
No. 2 and more significantly, income stocks like REITs their yields generally move in tandem with risk-free rates. Specifically, the 10-year treasury is a really good benchmark. As treasury yields rise, investors expect that risk premium meaning the difference between what they can get on a risk-free investment, and a so-called risky investment, like a REIT to roughly stay the same.
As REIT yields get pushed higher by rising rates, yields and share prices have an inverse relationship, so it puts pressure on their stock prices. All that said, as I said at the top of the show, it's all about expectations. Right now the expectation is that the federal funds rate is going to rise to roughly two percent by next year.”
Yeah, you bolded the part that says higher rates should "put pressure on stock prices" i.e. they should come down.
So are you saying you want to buy an investment as it gets cheaper? OK, but the long term trend for rates seems to be higher and thus the stock will trend lower (making its yield higher).
Maybe you expect rates to go back down (some people don't think the Fed has the gall to keep raising rates as it will bring recession)?
You could be right, we have known about the coming rising rate environment for a while and the chart is trending higher ..... just curious your thought process or trade thesis
Yes eye wood bye them as the prices drop and the yield is higher.
Rates aren’t going two stay high forever and REITs were already attractive befour the rate hikes.
Eye agree.
Relatively yes
But when Carter was ores a mortgage rate was 18%+
More so than that will be food production. Go ahead and start buying directly from farmers and grow you garden. I have seen forecast as high as 5x TODAYS price. I'm not a scared pepper but if you aren't prudent you will end up a zombie searching for food. Buy seeds and Mason jars. The supply chain for food is dying fast. Local sourcing retailers like Publix have the best chance imo.
And buy weed seeds. That will be worth more than gold
